Tuesday, September 29, 2015
Iran: Road Map to Regime Change
Iranian police officers stopping a car during a crackdown to enforce the Islamic dress code
Women drivers in Iran’s capital could have their cars impounded by police if they are caught driving with a poorly fixed veil or without their heads covered
US President Barack Obama’s nuclear deal with Iran remains deeply unpopular amongst the American people.
Roughly two-thirds of Americans oppose the deal, according to an article on Wall Street Journal, and most of the Republican presidential candidates have vowed to renegotiate it the moment they enter office. But given that China, France, Germany, Russia and the U.K. have all signed on to the pact, many international sanctions can no longer be easily “snapped back.” Some elements of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, in other words, will continue to shape U.S. Iran policy for years to come.
At the heart of Mr. Obama’s diplomacy with the mullahs is the notion that freezing their nuclear ambitions, if only for a limited time of 10 years, would lead to a transformation of the regime. Give it access to international commerce, the thinking goes, and it will gradually moderate its behavior.
The trouble is that this vision depends solely upon Iran. Yet nothing in the Islamic Republic’s 36-year history suggests a transformation will happen automatically.
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